Understanding the life cycle of dengue vector (Aedes Aegypti) through an agent-based modelling approach

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Date

2025-09-25

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Taylor and Francis

Abstract

Dengue fever, a vector-borne disease spread by bites of infected female Aedes mosquitoes, has spread globally with several outbreaks. Thus, understanding the life cycle of Aedes mosquitoes, reproduction, transmission mechanisms, and weather variables is crucial for effective control of mosquitoes and surveillance of dengue fever. This paper systematically presents a novel stochastic agent-agent-based model implemented using GAMA 1.9.2 that simulates the trans- mission dynamics of dengue virus and the life cycle of Aedes Aegypti mosquito in low-resource environments in Dar es Salaam-Tanzania. The simulation results indicated that changing weather parameters influenced the vector population dynamics. The vector population increased gradually when weather conditions were favourable and vice versa. The simulation results revealed a continuous dengue prevalence throughout the year, indicating a silent spread of dengue. During the silent spread of dengue, it may be optimal to intervene in mosquito production at the egg and larva stages and eradicate adult mosquitoes.

Sustainable Development Goals

SDG-3:Good Health and Well-Being SDG-11:Sustainable Cities and Communities SDG-13:Climate Action SDG-9:Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure

Keywords

Agent-based modelling, Aedes, dengue fever, weather, mosquito life cycle, surveillance

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